March 11, 2025Comment(71)

Real Estate Market Showing Signs of Improvement

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The year 2024 is shaping up to be crucial for China's real estate sector, often referred to as a "year of policy," which comes after a notable period of adjustment lasting approximately three yearsThe government has initiated a series of strategic measures to restore stability in the market by addressing various factors such as land, fiscal strategies, financing, and moreKey regulations like purchasing restrictions, resale limitations, and price controls are being lifted, leading to enhanced conditions for both potential buyers and investorsNotably, the lowering of housing provident fund loan rates and adjustments in down payment ratios are among the critical moves aimed at stimulating real estate activity.

As part of this comprehensive policy package, regional authorities are encouraged to implement tailored strategies that meet local conditions—a practice termed "one city, one policy." The efficacy of such measures is already becoming evident, as the market seems to be turning a corner with improved sales figures

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For example, the fourth quarter of 2024 witnessed a surge in the sales volume of commercial residential properties, reflecting an encouraging trend supported by strong policy actionsData from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development indicates that from October to December 2024, the sales area of new residential properties saw consistent year-on-year and month-on-month growth across the nation.

Furthermore, the new housing prices in key cities showed a year-on-year increase, with first-tier cities experiencing significant advancesIn December 2024 alone, the transaction volume of new homes in these cities rose by an impressive 35% compared to the previous yearNotably, Shenzhen recorded a staggering 189% increase in transaction area, while cities like Beijing and Guangzhou also exhibited robust growthAt the same time, even though second-hand housing prices nationally saw a decline—down 7.26% year-on-year—the rate of decline for these properties has begun to narrow, particularly in first-tier markets

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It appears that the market is responding positively to these strategic interventions.

The gradual stabilization of prices paired with a revival in sales illustrates a positive shift within the real estate marketIncreased consumer confidence and an ever-growing demand for housing—whether from first-time buyers or those seeking improved living conditions—are enhancing the supply-demand dynamicsA look at the statistics reveals that in December 2024, out of 70 major cities, 23 reported an increase in the sales price of new housing, while 9 cities noted a rise in second-hand housing pricesThis is a significant turnaround, particularly for first and second-tier cities where housing demand has proven resilientFor instance, first-tier cities have notched their first price increase since June 2023, indicating a potential uptrend in overall property values.

Looking forward, the momentum of market improvement is expected to continue into 2025, with authorities emphasizing the need for steadfast policy implementation to support ongoing recovery

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Coordinating efforts across various sectors, including finance, taxation, urban development, and housing, will be essential in sustaining positive market conditionsThe focus will be on backing rigid and improvement-driven housing demands, which will likely manifest in expanded policies catering to city-specific requirements and better aligning housing resources with community needs.

Furthermore, in a bid to enhance housing availability, local governments are urged to optimize current housing supply while controlling the increase of new projectsDevelopers will be encouraged to prioritize quality, ensuring that newly constructed properties meet elevated standardsThis effort aligns with the growing trend of prioritizing livable spaces, which is crucial for urban environments grappling with housing shortagesInitiatives aimed at supporting young professionals, migrant workers, and new urban dwellers will also see intensified efforts, marking a shift toward ensuring everyone has access to dignified living conditions.

In this evolving landscape, the construction of quality housing will take precedence

Increased standards for residential buildings, coupled with improved management practices for real estate services, will be necessary to enhance overall living experiencesCollaborative partnerships among stakeholders will drive the transition towards better housing solutionsIt is anticipated that major developers will pioneer projects aiming to embody standards for quality living, setting benchmarks for future constructions.

As 2025 approaches, there will be concerted actions focusing on developing an innovative model in real estate that not only emphasizes construction but also integrates community needs and livability aspectsThe aim will be to create a balanced approach in the housing market that addresses the needs of urban labor forces suffering from housing challengesThe government's strategy will include a responsive planning mechanism that aligns land use, fiscal support, and public service needs, fostering stable market conditions through heightened awareness and clear, actionable plans.

In summation, the ongoing transformations in China's real estate sector signal an evolving paradigm aimed at enhancing market stability and fostering healthy development

alefox

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